This
strategy was developed several
years ago as a way to disinguish
between a bogus gap up (which
is likely to decay), versus
genuine buying interest
(which is not likely to
decay). The answer to this
problem was the Staircase
to Heaven. Basically, it
is when a stock reaches
a session high after the
first 30 minutes, or 10AM-eastern
time. It is accompanied
by above-average volume.
It
must be clearly noted that the Staircase to Heaven needs to have both
factors, which is (a) High volume, relative to yesterday's session, and (b) At
its session high 30 minutes after the opening bell. Additionally, the market
has to have a general bullish tone and running in positive territory.

A storybook example of the
Staircase to Heaven. After the first 30 minutes,
the heavily traded stock is at
its session high. Notice how it takes off for the remainder of the day.
Notice
the example of a classic Staircase to Heaven play in the above illustration.
After very heavy volume (relative to the previous session), GENZ reaches its
session high about 30 minutes after the open. The stock proceeds to ramp up for
the day for a cool 3% gain.
Below
is yet another example of the Staircase to Heaven the occurred in the same
trading session.

In
the above example for ADSK, volume is visibly heavy, relative to the previous
session. After trading for 30 minutes, ADSK is at its session high, so it
qualifies as a Staircase to Heaven. Notice how it takes off, reaching a
whopping 7% gain from the point you would have entered the trade to its high.
Why the Staircase to Heaven
Works
The
Staircase to Heaven is a way to locate where the big investors are putting
their money. Generally, the inexperienced ("dumb") money enters the
market near or at the open, and in most cases, the stock will go in the
opposite direction as the "smart" money exploits the action. If a
stock gaps down at the bell, for instance, smarter traders swoop in and drive
it back up. Similarly, stocks that gap up (open higher) are frequently
exploited by short sellers, and the price decays.
In
the case of the Staircase to Heaven, however, the fact that the stock improves
during the same time period, and with heavy volume, indicates that there is a
genuine interest in the stock from the heavy hitters, and the money is not
coming from the inexperienced public. Had the stock been trading only with
early, "dumb" money, it would be trading at lower volume, and/or it
would have been unable to make a session high during the first 30 minutes. (The
next page will show some examples of stocks that fail to rally, because they
did not have the proper signals).
One
additional reason why the Staircase to Heaven is effective is that other
traders, noticing the increasing momentum, join the bandwagon, and the stock
takes off. Hence, this particular strategy can produce excellent results during
very bullish sessions.
When
the market turns bullish, there are usually stocks that are tempting to play in
the early going, yet if they do not show the proper signals, your trade is
likely to fail.
The
following is an example of a stock that is "almost" a Staircase to
Heaven play, except it fails to reach a session high after the first 30 minutes.

Example of a failed rally. While
JCOM (above) had heavier volume than
usual, it failed to make a new high during
the first 30 minutes.
Notice
the failed rally for JCOM in the above chart. Although it qualified with high
volume, it failed to make a session high after 30 minutes of trading. This
indicates that the big ("smart") money is not that interested in the
stock, and JCOM goes on a decisive downslide.
Another
interesting point about JCOM (above) is that this failed rally occurred on the
same day as the two winning examples (GENZ and ADSK) .

Another
example of a possible Staircase to
Heaven that fails to qualify (volume is too low).
The
above chart is another example of how the Staircase to Heaven will fail if it
does not meet both qualifications. In this example, BSTE hits a session high,
but its volume is very weak (relative to the previous session). This indicates
that the big money is not all that interested in the stock. Notice how the
stock promptly tanks for the better part of the session, immediately after it
hit its "high".
Again,
BSTE (above) occurred on the same day as the winning plays shown on the
previous page.