|
Online
Training Course Created
by:
Gary "Gar"
Crandall
|
|

|
Benefiting
from
this
site?
You
can
offer
a
tip
at
any
time!
|
|
Glossary
|
Intro Lions,
Tigers & Bears My
story
Welcome!
By
starting this online training course, you have embarked on a new
journey towards trading stock for income. This course does not
teach you how to invest or "buy-and-hold." Rather, it teaches
you how to trade stocks, holding for short periods of time, and realizing
profits on a daily basis. Trading in this fashion might be "politically
incorrect" to some, yet it is the only way you can make money on
stocks on a consistent basis, and under all market conditions.
When
applied correctly, trading can outperform most investment strategies
by an impressive margin. For instance, it is not unusual for a good
trader to realize an average gain of 1% per day; on an annual basis,
this is more than 250% per year, a number that would stagger the imagination
of the very best investment advisors.
The fact that
you have chosen this course means that you have the desire to make money
on stocks. Perhaps you have already lost money by following the conventional
wisdom of a broker, some other advisor, or even your own philosophy
of investment. Or, your retirement fund may be slipping away, and you
are looking for a better way. Or, you want a fresh approach to salvage
your financial situation. Whatever the reason you have for doing this
course, it is assumed that you have a desire to make money by trading
stocks. To make such money, it is essential that you grasp the following
fundamental principles.
- Stock trading
requires work, concentration and a certain degree of acquired discipline.
While trading can be incredibly profitable, to coin a cliché: There
are no free rides. By acquired discipline is meant that you
will eventually become a good trader by performing the drills and
exercises in this course, and more importantly, by training in our
simulated trading center.
- Like any other
profession or skill, you have to become competent with trading in
order to consistently make money. Stock trading is of dubious repute
with the mainstream media because of unskilled, amateur traders losing
large amounts of money.
- To become
competent, it is imperative that you first understand the basics.
These include common terms of the subject, how the market works, and
the essential differences between trading and investing (all of which
themes are covered in this section).
- Learning the
basic skills to trade, and even practicing all the techniques is only
half the battle. The last part of this course deals with the biggest
obstacle of all: the enemy within. It will become essential to recognize
your own personal impulses (and we all have them) and learn how to
control them. This is a subject in end of itself, and is covered in
the final section called Act I.
How This Course
Works
The material in
this course has been created with the assumption that you know almost
nothing about stocks, the stock market, or about trading and investing.
The first section, Stock Market Basics, covers the most fundamental
aspects of the subject on which we intend to make you an expert: stock
trading. Subsequent sections cover progressively more sophisticated
material.
Each section is
designed to teach you how to trade on a gradient scale. This
means that you can become an expert stock trader only by grasping each
section, one at a time, before moving on to the next.
Some sections have
practical drills. These will be exercises that you perform in
the "real" world, such as spotting patterns in charts, locating
stocks that exhibit special characteristics, making practice trades,
etc.. Merely understanding the theory of trading is insufficient to
become adept, as you need to acquire both the knowledge and the practical
application of that knowledge to become a good trader.
The Wall Street Jungle
Lions, Tigers and Bears
If you could convince a
professional that anyone could do his or her job, you may soon be out of favor
among the elite. Certain professions such as tax accountants and attorneys, to
name a few, rely on the complexity and confusion of their field for their
livelihood.
It is no different on Wall Street. For over 200 years,
reliable access to financial information has been restricted to an elite group
of insiders, floor traders, large brokerage firms and professional money
managers. In his fictionalized autobiography, the cycle of the market was
described by the legendary Jesse Livermore to be one in which “…the insiders,
who buy low and drive prices high, will then sell to the public at the market
top, and when the prices decline, the cycle begins all over again.”
Not much has changed
since Livermore’s comments 80 years ago---except for one significant event: The
advent of the Internet. For the first time in its history, the financial
markets can be accessed with the click of a mouse. What used to be the
exclusive domain of the commission-driven broker, the floor trader and the
wealthy insider is now in potential competition with anyone who owns a modem
and an E*Trade account.
But as old habits are
hard to break, so do aging monopolies have difficulty adjusting to their
inevitable dissolve. At last, the professional trader, the money manager, the
insider and the broker alike are each facing the fact that anyone with a PC and
half a mind can do their job. What are they to do?
The last line of defense
amongst the elite is enforced ignorance and the insistence on the complexity
and “danger” of financial markets if you wing it without them. They will be
quick to tell you horror stories of trading, and how it is equated to gambling
and other social ills, and that the proper way to invest is to buy and hold
indefinitely (on their recommendations, of course).
What none of these
professionals ever tell you is that they are usually the first ones to dump
their portfolios the moment the market goes south, yet they insist that you
should simply ride it out for the “long run.” Many of them even tell you to
invest more as your stocks decline (they call this “averaging down,” which is a
suicide play). So went the market in 2000 through 2002, as millions of
unwitting public lost billions, all the while being urged to keep on
buying---while the professionals were selling their shares. It never occurred
to the public, being taught that the proper strategy was to buy and hold, that
if the market continued to decline, then someone had to be selling an awful lot
of stock. The professionals were doing the selling, the same pied pipers who
led the public underwater.
So what is it that Wall
Street doesn’t want you to know? They don’t want you to know how to trade. More
specifically, they don’t want you to find out that the truly big money is made
by traders, not long-term investors. That is how it has been for time
immemorial. They only tell you to buy (and hold), because it is in the
professional’s best interest that you do so. It’s strange, because “investing,”
taught in this fashion, is the most dangerous strategy of all: Make a bet,
stick with it come hell or high water, and if it doesn’t go your way, you lose
everything.
Lately, the trading club
elite has even extended beyond Wall Street. New groups of professional day
traders have formed all around the country. While these groups are not
directly connected to the older generation of professionals, their message and
intent is the same, that trading is wrought with danger, and that you need at
least $100,000 and extensive training to even think about trading
professionally. Naturally, they can provide expensive seminars and other
services, but the message is the same as it has been for 200 years: “Unless you
are among the wealthy and elite, you don’t belong in this profession.”
My intention of this book
is to dispel age-old myths about the market, to show you that anyone with the
will and reasonable intelligence can trade for profit, and that it can be done
with minimal risk with relatively small stakes.
And, while the message
contained herein is certainly not popular with the masters of Wall Street, it
is very popular with regular people. All it takes is a modest commitment, a
desire to make money on stocks, and above all, the willingness to learn new
things. That’s what the material in this course is about, and you are cordially
invited to take that first step of the journey in trading for income!
My Story: Riches to Rags
Almost every American,
regardless of personal or professional stature, has been involved with the
stock market in one way or another. Even if you have never bought or sold a
single share of stock, the market could have a profound effect on your
financial security more than you might realize.
For instance, most
company-sponsored retirement funds are heavily vested in stocks, so if you own
a 401K, an IRA or pension, you own stocks. If you work for a large corporation,
chances are that the company’s stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange,
in which case, the future with your employer could very well be affected by
what happens on Wall Street.
But even if you don’t have
a retirement fund or do not work for a publicly traded company, our very
economy that we all depend on is very much affected by what happens to stocks.
One way or another, the stock market will have an effect on your finances.
Stock trading has not
always been an interest of mine, and in fact, I have no formal education in
finance, nor have I ever been part of the Wall Street elite (much to my
advantage, as you will see). By profession, I am a software engineer, and that
is where my story begins.
In late 1999, my software
development firm was acquired by a Silicon Valley company for $18,000,000, of
which my ownership was worth over $5,000,000. After fifteen years of
innovation, I felt that my hard work had finally paid off. This is what it was
all about, to achieve a financial goal that most people can only dream
of---independent wealth, and perhaps the wherewithal to never want for anything
for myself or my family for the rest of my life. My dream had come true…or so I
thought.
In this case, fate had its
cruelty. The acquisition occurred as a 100% stock deal, meaning that the
Silicon Valley company used its publicly traded stock as “currency” to acquire
my firm, with shares priced at $150 each. So until I sold the stock, my
$5,000,000 of wealth was all in company stock, or only on “paper”.
Needless to say, by the
time I was able to sell a single share of stock, the price per share fell from
$150 to $15 (a ten-to-one decline). I sold what I could (there were
restrictions on what I was allowed to sell), and then watched the stock plummet
to $5 in less than two months. I sold more shares, then watched the stock decay
to $1. Basically, my $5,000,000 fortune had been completely wiped out.
But it did not stop there.
In the interest of “corporate downsizing”, I was informed by the company that
my services were no longer required. In other words, I was fired. So there I
was, no stock, no company, no job, no income, and no longer any ownership of my
intellectual property that I had developed for more than a decade. I was facing
home foreclosure and bankruptcy. In short, I was ruined.
The only silver lining was
that this experience was a wake up call, to put it as mildly as possible.
Something was very wrong with the deal I made, or with the market, or maybe I
was defrauded, or perhaps all of the above. I wanted answers.
I asked myself that if a
giant fleet of professionals, including the entire stock market itself valued a
stock at $150 per share, how could it possibly deflate to $1 in a matter of
months? Nothing significantly changed with the company, there was no particular
news or series of events that should have caused such deflation. Could it be
that the $150 was that out of line? Could the stock analysts have been that
wrong?
Over time, I discovered
the answer to this question. Yes, the analysts can be that wrong, and
furthermore, they are wrong an alarming number of times.
This is when the whole
bottom dropped out of my understanding of financial markets. Like so many
others, I assumed that people who analyzed stocks for a living, who made
recommendations to the rest of us, and who managed large pension and retirement
funds knew what they were doing. But to my horror, many of them are not only
incompetent, but some of them engage in borderline criminality, or outright
fraud (we have already witnessed the many Wall Street scandals that have
surfaced in the media).
Hence, this “riches to
rags” twist of fate is what led to my calling, it is what motivated me to
discover the truth about stocks and how the Wall Street game is played. I was
determined to get my money back no matter how long it took, and regardless of
how many hoops I had to jump through. I simply wanted to learn the truth.
I am neither a financial
advisor, or do I hobnob in any Wall Street circles. You will never see me on
media shows that talk about investments, but why should you? Nearly everyone
who appears on such shows are the same pied pipers who led millions of innocent
investors to portfolio ruin.
All that I have is my
common sense, my dignity, and my desire to reclaim what was lost. From a practical
sense, I have my analytical abilities, acquired from years of software
development training. It is this ability that has enabled me to sort through an
otherwise confusing matrix of data to develop stock trading systems that really
work, and that work for the common investor.
Stock
Market Basics
|